Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Abercrombie Jumps On Call For New CEO, Possible Sale

Bucking the downward trend today is Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), up 5.5% at recent check, on news that activist investor Engaged Capital is urging the firm to replace its CEO—and think about possibly putting itself up for sale.

Glenn Welling's firm sent Abercrombie's board of directors a letter, stating it had built a 0.5% stake in the company (about 400,000 shares). While the letter praised Chief Executive Michael Jefferies' work, it said that the company should be looking for his replacement, as his contract ends in February.  Abercrombie responded with fairly boilerplate language, saying that it welcomes shareholder input and that it hopes to continue its ongoing dialogue with Engage.

However, Engaged has more than just a CEO transition in mind. The letter also states: "A sale of the Company to a private equity buyer may represent the best option for shareholders."

In late November, Abercrombie's shares took a hit when the company's full-year earnings forecast disappointed the Street. The stock is down more than 25% in the past year.

10 Best Canadian Stocks To Invest In 2014

Jefferies made waves earlier this year when a 2006 interview in which he said he didn't want overweight or unattractive teens wearing Abercrombie's clothes resurfaced.  (He also entered into a 10b5-1 trading plan in November, through which he intends to sell about 200,000 of his Abercrombie shares.)

Monday, December 30, 2013

Investor Beat: Nov. 18, 2013

On Monday's edition of Investor Beat, host Alison Southwick and Motley Fool analysts Jason Moser and David Hanson take a sharp and irreverent Foolish look at the biggest investing stories of the day.

The market hit another all-time high today opening at 16,000. With the Dow up more than 20% so far this year, fears are mounting that this bull market doesn't have much farther to run. In the lead story from Investor Beat, Jason and David discuss what investors need to do as the Dow climbs higher.

Then, our analysts take a look at four stocks making moves on the market today. Tyson Foods is one hot chicken stock. Boeing makes a huge sale. The Container Store keeps rising, despite not turning a profit. And JPMorgan still can't put the past behind it.

And finally, David and Jason explain why they're keeping a close watch on shares of Best Buy and Dick's Sporting Goods.

More Foolish insight
To learn about two retailers with especially good prospects, take a look at The Motley Fool's special free report: "The Death of Wal-Mart: The Real Cash Kings Changing the Face of Retail." In it, you'll see how these two cash kings are able to consistently outperform and how they're planning to ride the waves of retail's changing tide. You can access it by clicking here.

Sunday, December 29, 2013

Signed baseball collection worth up to $3M on d…

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — When New York Yankees legend Mickey Mantle signed a baseball for 9-year-old Dennis Schrader at a 1956 spring training game in Florida, it began a lifelong obsession. Today, Schrader has more than 4,600 signed baseballs, certified by Guinness as the largest such collection in the world.

That obsession is now on display at the St. Petersburg Museum of History in Florida. "Schrader's Little Cooperstown" opened to the public Tuesday, and Schrader was grinning from ear to ear. He and his wife have loaned the balls to the museum for 20 years, and after that, they will be returned to the family.

Previously, Schrader's baseballs were displayed in a 12-by-14-foot room in his home that had walls a foot thick, a bank vault door, motion sensors and video camera surveillance. The semi-retired mobile home executive once spent $25,000 on a single ball, signed by Joe DiMaggio and then-wife Marilyn Monroe.

He estimates the collection is worth $2 million to $3 million.

The collection is a trip through baseball history, and Schrader will personally give tours of the collection to groups.

There are the obvious great signatures: Mickey Mantle, Babe Ruth and Jackie Robinson. There are several Negro League balls, a tribute to the All-American Girls Professional Baseball League featured in the movie "A League of Their Own," and several signed by celebrities and politicians.

"He captured the essence of baseball," said St. Petersburg Mayor Bill Foster.

In August 2011, Guinness World Records certified him as the owner of 4,020 baseballs signed by major league baseball players. Duplicates and balls signed by non-baseball celebrities — including President Barack Obama — brought his collection of baseballs to more than 4,600.

Guinness requires the sign off and authentication from a reputable auction house or relevant institution or society, which specializes in collections of the type submitted, spokesman Jamie Panas said in an email.

The collection wa! s verified by the president of All American Sports Collectibles and St. Petersburg Museum of History who are versed in baseball histories, he said.

It cost the museum $300,000 to design the exhibit and two years for city officials to convince Schrader to loan the precious collection.

The museum, which sits along St. Petersburg's downtown waterfront, is also gearing up to celebrate the 100th anniversary of baseball spring training in the city. Spring training began in St. Petersburg with the St. Louis Browns playing at Coffee Pot Park in 1914.

Schrader admitted that "there's an emptiness" in his home without the baseballs, but said the vault was filled with other collectibles, including his wife's 500 cookie jars and several hundred celebrity autographed photos.

Schrader's wife, Mary, said she and her husband won't stop collecting signed baseballs.

"In fact, I have a ball in my purse right now," Mary Schrader said, laughing and showing the blank ball. "I always carry one around, because you never know who you'll run into."

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Top Growth Companies To Own In Right Now

On Wednesday morning, Lisa Su,�the Senior Vice President and Head of the Global Business Unit for Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (NYSE: AMD), presented at the Citi Global Technology Conference (you can listen to the audio�by clicking here�or read transcript on Seeking Alpha here). I should mention that Advanced Micro Devices is in our�SmallCap Network Elite Opportunity (SCN EO) portfolio and we are down around 14%���namely because the company had the misfortune of reporting earnings the same day some major tech names were disappointing investors. Nevertheless, here is a quick summary of the key takeaways for investors (rather than for any techies)�from the Citi Global Technology Conference:

Current Visibility Versus a Quarter Ago Versus a Year Ago. When asked about visibility, Lisa commented that in 2012, 95% of Advanced Micro Devices��exposure was to the PC market; but by the end of this year, the company intends to have at least 20% of�the business outside of the traditional PC market. Moving forward for the�next three years, the company�has a�target of 40% to 50% of its business coming from�outside the traditional PC space.�Lisa also�added that in the newer business, particularly the semi-custom and game console business,�the company has�fairly good visibility. Productivity Gains Versus a Quarter Ago Versus a Year Ago. Lisa noted how Advanced Micro Devices has transitioned from being a pure X86 Company to be really more of a design company. More importantly and in the areas of�core technology IT strengths where�AMD spends a lot of�engineering and R&D dollars, the company is�able to reuse those components into a bunch of markets to get a bunch of products out. About the ��mbidextrous��Strategy. Lisa�pointed out�that the idea of one size fits all in terms of a product is changing along with the greater need to customize for various vertical markets. So�the company���ambidextrous strategy is: ���the idea of really using both ARM and X86 architectures as well as combining graphics, third party IP together so that we can optimize for each market segment.�� The PC Market. According to Lisa, Advanced Micro Devices views that it has�share opportunity growth in the PC market given the size of�its share plus there are opportunities in commercial.�She did add that the market today has�a lot more focus on the entry price points. Margins on the Console Business. When asked about margins�for the�console business, Lisa noted that it's fair to say that the semi-custom business model is different from our traditional PC model with the�gross margins�being below corporate average, but the�operating margins are fairly good. She then added: ���it�� really a very, very nice model because we designed these with our customers, our customers fund a large portion of the engineering expense and so the gross margin fall through to operating margins as a percentage is quite high.�� Operating Expenses. Lisa noted that Advanced Micro Devices��model and restructuring has really seen operating expenses go down over the last three or four quarters. With most of the restructuring now behind the company and revenue accelerating, operating expenses will stay constant and roughly flat. However,�Lisa did mention that Advanced Micro Devices is doing a shift in sales and marketing as some of the new channels require a more dedicated sales force e.g. embedded or professional graphics.

In other words, Advanced Micro Devices is continuing to make progress in its transition away from or rather dependence on the PC market.

Top Growth Companies To Own In Right Now: Crocs Inc.(CROX)

Crocs, Inc. and its subsidiaries engage in the design, development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories for men, women, and children. The company primarily offers casual and athletic shoes, and shoe charms. It also designs and sells a range of footwear and accessories that utilize its proprietary closed cell-resin, called Croslite. The company?s footwear products include boots, sandals, sneakers, mules, and flats. In addition, it provides footwear products for the hospital, restaurant, hotel, and hospitality markets, as well as general foot care and diabetic-needs markets. Further, the company offers leather and ethylene vinyl acetate based footwear, sandals, and printed apparels principally for the beach, adventure, and action sports markets; and accessories comprising snap-on charms. The company sells its products through the United States and international retailers and distributors, as well as directly to end-user consumers th rough its company-operated retail stores, outlets, kiosks, and Web stores primarily under the Crocs Work, Crocs Rx, Jibbitz, Ocean Minded, and YOU by Crocs brand names. As of December 31, 2010, it operated 164 retail kiosks located in malls and other high foot traffic areas; 138 retail stores; 76 outlet stores; and 46 Web stores. Crocs, Inc. operates in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The company was formerly known as Western Brands, LLC and changed its name to Crocs, Inc. in January 2005. Crocs, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Niwot, Colorado.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Alex Planes]

    Investors love stocks that consistently beat the Street without getting ahead of their fundamentals and risking a meltdown. The best stocks offer sustainable market-beating gains, with robust and improving financial metrics that support strong price growth. Does Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX  ) fit the bill? Let's look at what its recent results tell us about its potential for future gains.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Crocs (CROX) has dropped 5.5% to $12.93 after it was cut to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray.

    CF Industries�(CF) has gained 3.6% to $$217.51 after it sold its phosphate business to�Mosaic�(MOS) for $1.4 billion. Mosaic edged up 0.1% to $45.98.

  • [By Chris Hill]

    Visa (NYSE: V  ) and Under Armour (NYSE: UA  ) hit new all-time highs. General Motors (NYSE: GM  ) appears to be turning the corner in Europe. And second-quarter profits for Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX  ) fell a whopping 43%. In this installment of Investor Beat, Motley Fool analysts David Hanson and Jason Moser discuss four stocks making moves on Thursday.

Top Growth Companies To Own In Right Now: Intuitive Surgical Inc.(ISRG)

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets da Vinci surgical systems for various surgical procedures, including urologic, gynecologic, cardiothoracic, general, and head and neck surgeries. Its da Vinci surgical system consists of a surgeon?s console or consoles, a patient-side cart, a 3-D vision system, and proprietary ?wristed? instruments. The company?s da Vinci surgical system translates the surgeon?s natural hand movements on instrument controls at the console into corresponding micro-movements of instruments positioned inside the patient through small puncture incisions, or ports. It also manufactures a range of EndoWrist instruments, which incorporate wrist joints for natural dexterity for various surgical procedures. Its EndoWrist instruments consist of forceps, scissors, electrocautery, scalpels, and other surgical tools. In addition, it sells various vision and accessory products for use in conjunction with the da Vinci Surgical System as surgical procedures are performed. The company?s accessory products include sterile drapes used to ensure a sterile field during surgery; vision products, such as replacement 3-D stereo endoscopes, camera heads, light guides, and other items. It markets its products through sales representatives in the United States, and through sales representatives and distributors in international markets. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Brian Stoffel]

    Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG  ) maker of the da Vinci Robotic Surgical System and market-leader in technology-assisted surgery, is slated to report earnings after the market closes Thursday. For investors who have suffered through a rough 2013 -- with shares trading down almost 20% since the beginning of the year -- here are three key areas to focus on when earnings are reported.

  • [By Brian Stoffel]

    I'm going to attempt something a little odd today, Fools. Even though Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG  ) makes up 6% of my real-life holdings, and I wrote just last week about why I'm holding my shares, I'm going to be giving you three reasons to consider selling the stock today.

Top Insurance Companies For 2014: MEDIFAST INC(MED)

Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of weight management and disease management products, and other consumable health and diet products in the United States. The company?s product lines include weight and disease management, meal replacement, and vitamins. It also operates weight control centers that offer Medifast programs for weight loss and maintenance, customized patient counseling, and inbody composition analysis. The company markets its products under the Medifast and Essential brand names, including shakes, appetite suppression shakes, women?s health shakes, diabetics shakes, joint health shakes, coronary health shakes, calorie burn drinks, calorie burn flavor infusers, antioxidant shakes, antioxidant flavor infusers, bars, crunch bars, soups, chili, oatmeal, pudding, scrambled eggs, hot cocoa, cappuccino, chai latte, iced teas, fruit drinks, pretzels, puffs, brownie, pancakes, soy crisps, crackers, and omega 3 and digestive health products. Medifast Inc. sells its products through various channels of distribution comprising Web, call center, independent health advisors, medical professionals, weight loss clinics, and direct consumer marketing supported via the phone and the Web; Take Shape for Life, a physician led network of independent health coaches; and weight control centers. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Owings Mills, Maryland.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Robert Hanley]

    Consumer-goods marketer Blyth (NYSE: BTH  ) , owner of weight-loss upstart ViSalus, has been in the doghouse lately, sitting near a 52-week low due to poor results in its weight-loss unit.� Despite a large potential customer base of overweight people worldwide, the industry has had difficulty generating growth lately, with data provider Marketdata Enterprises estimating that industry sales rose only 1.7% in 2012.� However, Blyth caught a bid in late October from a proposed combination with marketing-services provider CVSL, indicating that some people see incremental value in Blyth's businesses.�So, should small investors bet on this small cap or should they focus their attention on Weight watchers International (NYSE: WTW  ) and Medifast (NYSE: MED  ) instead?

  • [By Holly LaFon] ast produces, distributes and sells weight and health management products with the brand names Medifast, Take Shape for Life, Hi-Energy Weight Control Centers and Woman�� Wellbeing.

    Its return on assets in the third quarter of 2011 was 19.6%, which has been increasing in the past several years. The average return on assets for the specialty retail industry is 10.48% for the trailing 12 months.

    The company�� total assets amounted to $94 million in 2010, which increased from $62.8 million in 2009. Net income also increased to $19.6 million in 2010 from $12 million in 2009.

    Boston Beer Inc. (SAM)

    Boston Beer Inc. is the largest brewer of handcrafted beers in America. Boston Beer is a growing company that recently saw a large increase in its return on assets. It increased from 19.3% in 2010 to 29.7% in 2011, and was negative as recently as 2008. The average return on assets for the beverages industry in the trailing 12 months is 9.47%.

    In 2011, the company�� total assets increased to $272.5 million from $258.5 million in 2010. Net income increased to $66 million from $50 million.

    Alliances Resources Partners (ARLP)

    Alliance Resources Partners is a coal producer and marketer primarily in the eastern U.S. Its ROA has been increasing since 2008 and increased to 22.5% in 2011 from 21.4% in 2010. The average return on assets for the oil, gas & consumable fuels industry in the trailing 12 months is 24.47%.

    In 2011, its total assets increased to $1.7 billion from $1.1 billion in 2010. Its net income increased to $389 million from $321 million.

    Factset Research Systems Inc. (FDS)

    Factset researches global market trends and develops analytical tools for investors. Of all of GuruFocus��5-star predictable companies, it has the highest return on assets at 27%. ROA has been increasing over the past several years. The average return on assets for the software industry for the trailing 12 m

Top Growth Companies To Own In Right Now: TrueBlue Inc.(TBI)

TrueBlue, Inc. provides temporary blue-collar staffing services in the United States. It supplies on demand general labor to various industries under the Labor Ready brand; skilled labor to manufacturing and logistics industries under the Spartan Staffing brand; and trades people for commercial, industrial, and residential construction, and building and plant maintenance industries under the CLP Resources brand. The company also provides mechanics and technicians to the aviation maintenance, repair and overhaul, aerospace manufacturing, and assembly industries, as well as to other transportation industries under the Plane Techs brand; and temporary drivers to the transportation and distribution industries under the Centerline brand. It primarily serves small and medium-size businesses. The company was formerly known as Labor Ready, Inc. and changed its name to TrueBlue, Inc. in December 2007. TrueBlue, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Tacoma, Washington.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jonathan Yates]

    Even though the stock market rallied on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's remarks with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA) and Standard & Poor's 500 Index (NYSE: SPY) surging, the long term winners will be stocks in the staffing industry such as Paychex(NASDAQ: PAYX), TrueBlue (NYSE: TBI), Robert Half (NYSE: RHI), and Labor SMART (OTCBB: LTNC).

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    What: Shares of staffing agency TrueBlue (NYSE: TBI  ) jumped 10% today after the company reported earnings.

    So what: Revenue jumped 19%, to $422.3 million, and beat estimates of $420.2 million from Wall Street. Adjusted earnings per share were also up 19%, to $0.31, outpacing estimates by $0.05.�

  • [By Jonathan Yates]

    For those looking to invest in real estate stocks, highly recommended is the Dr. Housing Bubble blog. In a recent posting, the "Dr." pointed out that there was a "Lost Generation" when it came to household income. That has not happened for those investing in staffing industry stocks such as Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX), Robert Half International (NYSE: RHI), TrueBlue, Inc. (NYSE: TBI), and Labor SMART (OTCBB: LTNC).

  • [By Jonathan Yates]

    When looking at small cap stocks, it is useful to compare the company with others that have expanded in both share price and size. For those considering investing in the $100 billion staffing industry, the growth of TrueBlue (NYSE: TBI) shows what could be the potential path for Labor SMART (OTCBB: LTNC), as both operate in the $29 billion demand labor sector. Other firms have done well in the staffing industry include Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX) and ManPower Group (NYSE: MAN).

Top Growth Companies To Own In Right Now: Checkpoint Systms Inc.(CKP)

Checkpoint Systems, Inc. manufactures and markets identification, tracking, security, and merchandising solutions for the retail and apparel industry worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Shrink Management Solutions, Apparel Labeling Solutions, and Retail Merchandising Solutions. The Shrink Management Solutions segment provides shrink management and merchandise visibility solutions. It offers electronic article surveillance systems, such as EVOLVE, a suite of RF and RFID-enabled products that act as a deterrent to prevent merchandise theft in retail stores; and electronic article surveillance consumables, including EAS-RF and EAS-EM labels that work in combination with EAS systems to reduce merchandise theft in retail stores. This segment also provides keepers, spider wraps, bottle security, and hard tags, as well as Showsafe, a line alarm system for protecting display merchandise. In addition, it offers physical and electronic store monitoring solutions, incl uding fire alarms, intrusion alarms, and digital video recording systems for retail environments; and RFID tags and labels. The Apparel Labeling Solutions segment provides apparel labeling solutions to apparel retailers, brand owners, and manufacturers. It has Web-enabled apparel labeling solutions platform and network of 28 service bureaus located in 22 countries that supplies customers with customized apparel tags and labels. The Retail Merchandising Solutions segment offers hand-held label applicators and tags, promotional displays, and queuing systems. The company serves retailers in the supermarket, drug store, hypermarket, and mass merchandiser markets through direct distribution and reseller channels. Checkpoint Systems was founded in 1969 and is based in Thorofare, New Jersey.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Smith]

    Three months after settling upon a new chief executive officer, it looks like Thorofare, N. J.-based Checkpoint Systems (NYSE: CKP  ) will soon have itself a new CFO as well.

Top Growth Companies To Own In Right Now: Eastern Insurance Holdings Inc.(EIHI)

Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides workers compensation insurance and reinsurance products in the United States. The company?s Workers Compensation Insurance segment provides traditional workers compensation insurance coverage products, including guaranteed cost policies, policyholder dividend policies, retrospectively-rated policies, deductible policies, and alternative market products to employers. This segment distributes its workers? compensation products and services through its independent insurance agents primarily in Pennsylvania, Delaware, North Carolina, Maryland, Indiana, and Virginia. Its Segregated Portfolio Cell Reinsurance segment offers alternative market workers compensation solutions comprising program design, fronting, claims administration, risk management, segregated portfolio cell rental, asset management, and segregated portfolio management services to individual companies, groups, and associations. Eastern Insurance Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lauren Pollock]

    ProAssurance Corp.(PRA) agreed to acquire Eastern Insurance Holdings Inc.(EIHI) for about $205 million, expanding the insurance company’s casualty insurance offerings. Eastern Insurance is a domestic casualty insurance group specializing in workers’ compensation products and services, among other things. ProAssurance plans to pay $24.50 in cash for each outstanding Eastern share, a 16% premium over Monday’s closing price.

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Four steps to build an outperforming portfolio

A disciplined approach towards building an investment portfolio is in itself a very good investment for the investor.

Investors aim to achieve their financial goals through their investments and these goals vary widely across the investor community. There are different types of investors who belong to different age brackets, have contrasting disposable incomes, and have a plethora of different preferences for which they need money during their lifetime.

These factors and motives decide the investment pattern and the portfolio which needs to be built.

Here are four small steps to build an effective investment portfolio which will help the investor achieve their dream run as far as investment yields are concerned:

I. Get the right Asset Allocation for your needs

Assessment of individual's financial status, their investment goals are of prime importance for building a effective investment portfolio. Investor's age decides the term period of the investment.

A 21 year old, starting his career, will have a different investment goal focus than that of a person who is 55 years of age and is in the last leg of his service tenure. The degree of risk the investor is willing to take is also a key factor towards fixing the right investment portfolio.

The combination of current financial situation, investment goals and the risk taking propensity decide how the different investments would be divided among the asset classes. Higher returns are achievable by undertaking greater risks. This is referred to as risk/return trade off.

The 21 year old would obviously be in no great hurry to see his investment yield a return immediately and would thus be prepared to take greater risk in comparison to the 55 year old investor who would probably look at good risk-free returns which are also tax-efficient, after his retirement.

In this context it is relevant to discuss different portfolios which range from the conservative to the aggressive.

• An aggressive portfolio will consist of around 70 to 75 percent of equities and the balance in bonds and fixed income securities.

• A moderately aggressive portfolio will be made up of 50 to 55 percent in equities, Up to 40 percent in bonds and fixed income securities and the rest in cash and equivalents.

• As compared to this a conservative portfolio would not stake more than 20 percent in equities and the bulk of investments would be in fixed income securities.

II. Achieving the defined portfolio

Once the asset allocation has been fixed the amount has to be allocated appropriately into asset classes. However there are some sub-categorizations of the asset classes which the investor might want to get familiar with.

The equities offer an opportunity for investment in different sectors, market caps, domestic and foreign equities in the same way as bonds which can be allocated between short term and  long term, government versus corporate debt and so on.

The basket of investments consists of stocks, bonds, Mutual funds and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The investor can choose from these basic categories and their numerous variants available in the market which best suit their individual investment needs.

Before picking a stock and/or a bond it is imperative that their inherent traits are examined thoroughly. Short-listing potential picks and carrying out further study on them is always a good practice.

Similar exercise needs to be carried out for Mutual Funds and ETFs' also.

III. Reassessing the Portfolio Mix

Nothing in this world is permanently permanent and so it is with the portfolio of investments. Market movements, change in priorities, needs and current financial situations, guides the portfolio mix.

In order to carry out a well designed re-balancing exercise it is necessary to find out which portions or asset classes are overweight and which are underweight. Pruning the overweight ones and allocating them to the underweight class will set it right for the time.

IV. Rebalancing Strategically

While carrying out the rebalancing exercise as mentioned in step III, it is helpful to keep in mind certain things which have an effect on the investment portfolio.

A particular equity in the portfolio may be doing well, however as a part of the rebalancing exercise it may become necessary to sell the equity and this may attract substantial capital gains tax. In such a situation it would be better to carry out the rebalancing in a different manner, perhaps by contributing more in the non-equity components, thereby bringing down the ratio.

The investor needs to be well informed and conversant about the market interactions on a regular basis.  Analysis and feedback from the market is essential to keep stability to the portfolio.

In the above example it might be so that the equity market is expected to crash heavily and in such a case it is always advisable to sell inspite of the tax implications involved.

Conclusion

A well diversified portfolio is the key for a sustained and healthy long-term growth of the investments. An ideal portfolio is one which will stand the test of time and will be consistent in returns and solid in growth. The small steps recommended will result in your investments to leap.   

The author, Ramalingam K, CFP CM, is the Chief Financial Planner at holisticinvestment.in, a leading Financial Planning and Wealth Management company.

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Where Does Tesla Go Now?

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shareholders got mostly what they wanted from the company’s third quarter earnings. Perhaps what they heard from founder Elon Musk as he spoke on the earnings call was more important. There is, he said, too much demand for our cars. We don’t have the capacity to build enough of them. Unfortunately, forecasting capacity has been an Achilles Heel of the auto industry since its inception. Musk has to hope that he can get the balance between the number of cars Tesla will sell in the next few years, and the company’s ability to build them

Looking back, earnings for the third quarter show that the promise Tesla said it would deliver has largely been kept, at least in the very short term. Musk is fond of non-GAAP numbers as are most people who find normal accounting procedures make their financials look bad. On a GAAP basis, revenue for the quarter was $431 million, up from $50 million in the same quarter a year ago. That remains at about the level of what a large car company like Ford (NYSE: F) produces each day in sales. But, the markets cannot be convinced Ford’s sales will rise eight or nine fold each year. Tesla lost $38 million which is only a relief in light of the fact that its lost $111 million in the same period a year ago.

Most of the earnings call conversation was about sales outside the U.S. which complicates the manufacturing capacity problem. Making small numbers of cars at small plants around the world gets balanced against making them one or two places and shipping them. The risk with small factories is that a modest drop in demand can make them redundant from a manufacturing standpoint. Large central facilities cost tremendous sums to build–front loading much of the risk.

The capacity question also hinges on Musk’s belief that Tesla can become more than a niche car company. He plans a crossover, and less expensive models, which might retail for as little as $30,000. Lower priced cars tend to batter margins. Sometimes it is better to be like Porsche than like Ford. If Musk persists in his plans, he will run directly up against the global luxury monsters–Mercedes, BMW, Lexus, and Audi. Each will launch eventually, or has already said it will launch, direct competition shortly. These companies have decades of brand equity built through remarkable R&D, product planning, and marketing success. Tesla faces higher and higher competitive hurdles as it grows.

Be careful what you wish for…

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014

Is it crazy to think that gold stocks could easily double from their current levels?   Not if you realize the extreme condition the gold-stocks-to-gold ratio is in. And not if you know your market history.   As you'll see, history shows us that gold stocks could jump 100% in the coming 12 months.   Regular Growth Stock Wire readers know that gold stocks have suffered a horrible 2013. Gold has fallen from $1,675 to $1,300... and that caused a 52% selloff in gold stocks. Blue-chip gold stocks were cut in half. Weaker players have lost more than 75% of their value.   It's a "blood in the streets" environment for the sector. And when there's "blood in the streets," there's often great value.   One measure of value for gold stocks is the gold-stocks-to-gold ratio. This is a simple measure of the ratio of the price of gold stocks to the price of gold. When it gets badly out of whack, big moves happen in gold stocks.

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014: Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc.(TC)

Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in mining, milling, processing, and marketing molybdenum products in the United States and Canada. The company?s principal properties include the Thompson Creek Mine and mill in Idaho; a metallurgical roasting facility in Langeloth, Pennsylvania; and a joint venture interest in the Endako Mine, mill, and roasting facility in British Columbia. It also holds interests in development projects comprising the Davidson molybdenum property and the Berg copper-molybdenum-silver property located in northern British Columbia; the Howard?s Pass property, a lead and zinc project situated in the Yukon territory-northwest territories border; and the Maze Lake property, a gold project located in the Kivalliq district of Nunavut. The company produces molybdenum products, primarily molybdic oxide and ferromolybdenum, as well as soluble technical oxide, pure molybdenum tri-oxide, and high purity molybdenum disulfide. As o f December 31, 2010, its consolidated recoverable proven and probable ore reserves totaled 462.2 million pounds of contained molybdenum in the Thompson Creek Mine and the Endako Mine. The company was formerly known as Blue Pearl Mining Ltd. and changed its name to Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc. in May 2007. Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc. is based in Denver, Colorado.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jim Jubak]

    The stock market liked what it heard Wednesday, August 7, from Thompson Creek Metals (TC) after the close in New York. Second quarter adjusted net earnings of 8 cents a share crushed the Wall Street consensus of a penny a share. Revenue climbed 3.8% to $117.8 million versus expectations for revenue of just $1.3.8 million. The company also said that its new Mt. Milligan mine is on schedule with a start-up for the concentrator expected this month, with first ore-feed by mid-August. The company said it expects commercial production to begin in the fourth quarter of 2013, with production ramping to full capacity over the next twelve months.

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014: Iamgold Corporation(IAG)

IAMGOLD Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral resource properties worldwide. It primarily explores for gold, silver, zinc, copper, niobium, diamonds, and other metals. The company holds interests in eight operating gold mines, a niobium producer, a diamond royalty, and exploration and development projects located in Africa and the Americas. Its advanced exploration and development projects include the Westwood project in Canada; and the Quimsacocha project, which consists of 3 mining concessions covering an aggregate area of approximately 8,030 hectares in Ecuador. The company was formerly known as IAMGOLD International African Mining Gold Corporation and changed its name to IAMGOLD Corporation in June 1997. IAMGOLD Corporation was founded in 1990 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Tom Stoukas]

    Air France led airlines lower, falling 4 percent to 7.30 euros. International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (IAG) lost 1.9 percent to 270.7 pence while Deutsche Lufthansa AG slid 2.1 percent to 15.75 euros.

  • [By Namitha Jagadeesh]

    International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (IAG) and Air France-KLM (AF) Group rose with as a gauge of travel stocks as oil prices fell after Iran�� accord. PSA Peugeot Citroen gained 3.7 percent after people familiar with the matter said its chief executive officer plans to step down next year. Fresenius Medical Care AG surged the most in five years after U.S. regulators scrapped a plan to cut Medicare payments next year.

  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    IAMGOLD (NYSE: IAG  ) will release its quarterly report on Monday, and as with most gold mining companies, it's expected to post disappointing results compared to last year's figures because of the big drop in gold prices during the second quarter. Yet investors still expect IAMGOLD earnings to show the company's profitability, giving it a competitive advantage over weaker producers that are struggling to stay out of the red.

  • [By Patricio Kehoe]

    In addition to overexpansion at the wrong time, Golden Star�� position has weakened due to its comparably less efficient operations. Unlike industry peers, such as IamGold Corp. (IAG) or Gold Fields Ltd. (GFI), the majority of the Toronto-based miner�� assets contain refractory ore, which is far more expensive to extract than non refractory ore. And, in an attempt to switch production to the lower cost gold ore, and thus increase margins, Golden Star has depleted its mines��non refractory ore. With low reserves and mounting cash costs, the firm inevitably turned to new acquisitions.

Best Insurance Companies To Invest In 2014: First Majestic Silver Corp.(AG)

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the production, development, exploration, and acquisition of mineral properties with a focus on silver in Mexico. The company owns interests in La Encantada Silver Mine comprising 4,076 hectares of mining rights and 1,343 hectares of surface land located in Coahuila; La Parrilla Silver Mine consisting of mining concessions covering an area of 69,867 hectares; and San Martin Silver Mine comprising approximately 7,841 hectares of mineral rights and approximately 1,300 hectares of surface land rights located in Jalisco. It also holds interests in Del Toro Silver Mine consisting of 393 contiguous hectares of mining claims and an additional 129 hectares of surface rights located in Zacatecas; Real de Catorce Silver Project comprising 22 mining concessions covering 6,327 hectares located in San Luis Potosi state; and Jalisco Group of Properties consisting of mining claims totalling 5,240 hectares located in Jalisco. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Doug Ehrman]

    In terms of individual companies, there are several good choices, but these can behave very differently. Pan American Silver (NASDAQ: PAAS  ) , for example, missed revenue expectations and beat earnings expectations in its last earnings release. But despite the beat, EPS shrank considerably from a year earlier on a GAAP basis. The stock has been fairly flat ever since. Conversely, First Majestic (NYSE: AG  ) reported strong revenue growth and a small bump in profits, sending the stock higher since the announcement. First Majestic reported increased cash costs and tightening margins, largely driven by lower silver prices. Each of these companies faces pressure from increasing production costs and environmental concerns.

  • [By Doug Ehrman]

    Despite the weakness seen in precious metals a few weeks ago, silver has been relatively stable ever since mid-April, with the iShares Silver Trust (NYSEMKT: SLV  ) trading in a dollar-wide range ever since. With the presidents of the Chicago and Philadelphia Federal Reserve banks��releasing conflicting statements, turmoil may be just around the corner. Miners like Pan American (NASDAQ: PAAS  ) and First Majestic (NYSE: AG  ) are still facing operating challenges, while silver streaming darling Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW  ) struggles as well.

  • [By Doug Ehrman]

    It is no secret that precious metals companies have been taking a pounding for some time now. The SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEMKT: GLD  ) and iShares Silver Trust (NYSEMKT: SLV  ) , the gold and silver ETFs, have been hard hit and operating companies like First Majestic (NYSE: AG  ) and Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX  ) have been hit even harder. Through all of these struggles, and in some cases because of them, one precious metals company continues to look attractive for the long term: Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW  ) .

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014: CME Group Inc.(CME)

CME Group Inc. operates the CME, CBOT, NYMEX, and COMEX regulatory exchanges worldwide. The company provides a range of products available across various asset classes, including futures and options on interest rates, equity indexes, energy, agricultural commodities, metals, foreign exchange, weather, and real estate. It offers various products that provide a means of hedging, speculation, and asset allocation relating to the risks associated with interest rate sensitive instruments, equity ownership, changes in the value of foreign currency, credit risk, and changes in the prices of commodities. CME Group owns and operates clearing house, CME Clearing, which provides clearing and settlement services for exchange-traded contracts and counter derivatives transactions; and also engages in real estate operations. Its primary trade execution facilities consist of its CME Globex electronic trading platform and open outcry trading floors, as well as privately negotiated transact ions that are cleared and settled through its clearing house. In addition, the company offers market data services comprising live quotes, delayed quotes, market reports, and historical data services, as well as involves in index services business. CME Group?s customer base includes professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, and governments. It has strategic partnerships with BM&FBOVESPA S.A., Bursa Malaysia Derivatives, Singapore Exchange Limited, Green Exchange, Dubai Mercantile Exchange, Johannesburg Stock Exchange, and Bolsa Mexicana de Valores, S.A.B. de C.V., as well as joint venture agreement with Dow Jones & Company. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. CME Group was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Shauna O'Brien]

    CME Group Inc (CME) reported on Wednesday that September volume average increased 10% from September 2012, while its third quarter volume average grew 11% from last year.

    For September, volume averaged 13.1 million contracts per day, totaling 261 million for the month. Equity index volume in September averaged 2.9 million contracts per day, a 4% increase from last year. Equity index options volume was up 52% in September.

    Third quarter volume average was 12 million per day, up 11% from a year ago.

    CME Group shares were mostly flat during pre-market trading Wednesday. The stock is up 48% YTD.

  • [By Matthew Leising]

    The study, commissioned by CME Group Inc. (CME), the Futures Industry Association, the Institute for Financial Markets and the National Futures Association, surveyed private insurance companies to gauge their interest in providing protection to customers if their futures broker goes bankrupt, according to a statement released today.

  • [By Jon C. Ogg]

    CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CME) was raised to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette & Woods.

    Cypress Semiconductor Corp. (NASDAQ: CY) was maintained as Buy, but earnings estimates were cut and the price target was cut to $13 from $15, by Sterne Agee. Wedbush downgraded it to Neutral from Buy after the warning.

  • [By Jon C. Ogg]

    We still have many key oil and energy companies reporting in the week ahead but we have now seen the sector leaders report earnings. Earnings previews have been prepared for the following stocks:

    CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CME) Hertz Global Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HTZ) Kellogg Company (NYSE: K) DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) Office Depot Inc. (NYSE: ODP) and OfficeMax Incorporated (NYSE: OMX) Tesla Motors Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) T-Mobile US, Inc. (NYSE: TMUS) American Water Works Company Inc. (NYSE: AWK) Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE: DUK) QUALCOMM Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX) Whole Foods Market Inc. (NASDAQ: WFM) Groupon Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) Molycorp Inc. (NYSE: MCP) The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) Priceline.com Inc. (NASDAQ: PCLN) The Wendy’s Company (NYSE: WEN)

    CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CME) reports earnings on Monday morning. With all of the exchange mergers of the last decade this remains one of the dominant exchanges. Estimates are $0.73 EPS and $713.3 million in revenue. Keep in mind that this exchange is now worth $25 billion. At $74.70, the consensus analyst price target is only just barely higher at almost $75.50.

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014: Newmont Mining Corporation(Holding Company)

Newmont Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of gold and copper properties. The company?s assets or operations are located in the United States, Australia, Peru, Indonesia, Ghana, Canada, New Zealand, and Mexico. As of December 31, 2009, it had proven and probable gold reserves of approximately 93.5 million equity ounces and an aggregate land position of approximately 27,500 square miles. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014: Golden Star Resources Ltd(GSS)

Golden Star Resources Ltd., a gold mining and exploration company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of gold properties. It owns and operates the Bogoso/Prestea gold mining and processing operation that covers approximately 40 kilometers of strike along the southwest-trending Ashanti gold district in western Ghana; and the Wassa open-pit gold mine located to the east of Bogoso/Prestea in southwest Ghana. The company also has an 81% interest in the Prestea underground gold mine located in Ghana. In addition, it holds interests in various gold exploration projects in Ghana, Sierra Leone, Burkina Faso, Niger, and Cote d?Ivoire, as well as holds and manages exploration properties in Brazil in South America. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Littleton, Colorado.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Patricio Kehoe] ating price of the commodity, along with the geopolitical risks involved in mining in African nations such as Ghana, are just two of the obstacles the firm is facing. In addition, as one of the smallest gold mining firms in the industry, with a market cap of just $122 million, Golden Star has had a very difficult time financing its latest expansion projects. With share prices tumbling towards all-time lows, gurus such as Steven Cohen, Chuck Royce and Arnold Schneider have already sold out their positions in the troubled firm.

    Why Have Gurus Lost Faith in Golden Star?

    Despite aggressive expansion over the past decade, the Toronto-based gold mining firm has not been able to take advantage of its increased production output. Gold prices might have exploded over a ten-year period, yet the recent six-month decline has put a huge strain on Golden Star. The expedited maturation of its mines is particularly troubling, since the accelerated extraction rates, which allowed for short-term profits, are now falling considerably. The impact of the company�� excessive overproduction on profits and growth is clear: decreasing gold reserves mean less production, and thus reduced revenue for the gold miner. When the decline in metal prices are taken into account, the outlook is even more grim.

    In addition to overexpansion at the wrong time, Golden Star�� position has weakened due to its comparably less efficient operations. Unlike industry peers, such as IamGold Corp. (IAG) or Gold Fields Ltd. (GFI), the majority of the Toronto-based miner�� assets contain refractory ore, which is far more expensive to extract than non refractory ore. And, in an attempt to switch production to the lower cost gold ore, and thus increase margins, Golden Star has depleted its mines��non refractory ore. With low reserves and mounting cash costs, the firm inevitably turned to new acquisitions.

    Overpriced Acquisitions and Geopolitical Risk

    The purchase

  • [By Rich Duprey]

    Clash of the titans
    When bears are raging on the gold bullion market, it's not surprising to see gold stocks getting mauled as well. Golden Star Resources (NYSEMKT: GSS  ) was the biggest loser in the sector, losing a quarter of its market cap on no company-specific news, though a report last Friday indicated that a large number of hedge funds had recently dumped their positions in the mid-tier miner. Yet it wasn't all that much better among the majors, either, as Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX  ) fell almost 13% and Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC  ) was down 14%.

  • [By Sean Williams]

    Golden Star Resources (NYSEMKT: GSS  )
    It's simple physics: The bigger they are, the harder they fall. When gold prices nosedived earlier this week, gold miners with historically higher operating costs took the brunt of the hit. For the most part, that meant that development-stage miners, and those operating in Africa, where labor and political costs make cost-effective mining a challenge, took it on the chin. Possibly no stock was hammered more than Golden Star Resources, a gold miner in Ghana, which lost about one-quarter of its value on Monday alone.

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014: Goldcorp Incorporated(GG)

Goldcorp Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of precious metal properties in Canada, the United States, Mexico, and Central and South America. It produces and sells gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jonathan Yates]

    That is very bullish for companies in the gold sector such as Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX), Goldcorp (NYSE: GG), Wishbone Gold (OTC: WISHY) and Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY).

  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    Dan explains how Silver Wheaton's experience in providing financing to mining partners helps build credibility in negotiating future agreements that may benefit investors beyond the recent price declines in silver. He also believes that Silver Wheaton's existing partner network, consisting of large mining companies such as Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX  ) and Goldcorp (NYSE: GG  ) , is a competitive advantage.

  • [By Doug Ehrman]

    Due to gold's recent plunge marking its largest percentage drop since 1980, the explosive volume in the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEMKT: GLD  ) , and many swirling global macroeconomic factors, the precious yellow metal has spooked investors. The decline has not been limited to the commodity, as miners like Goldcorp (NYSE: GG  ) , Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX  ) , and Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM  ) are experiencing precipitous declines as well. Adding to the concern is the fact that investors have been unable to pinpoint the precise cause of the collapse.

  • [By DailyFinance Staff]

    Stocks took a breather Thursday after racing higher on Wednesday, and the price of gold sank to a three-year low. The major averages ended mixed -- and that's good news, as the market mostly held onto the huge gains that followed the Federal Reserve's taper announcement. The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) edged up 11 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 index (^GPSC) slipped a point, and the Nasdaq composite index (^IXIC) fell 12 points. But the price of gold slumped by $39 an ounce, closing below $1,200 for the first time in more than three years. Gold related stocks followed suit. Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX) and Goldcorp (GG) all fell about 1.5 percent. Another story getting lots of play today is Target's (TGT) announcement that as many as 40 million credit and debit card customers may have had their account information stolen over the past few weeks. Target shares fell 2 percent. Even though earnings season is still a few weeks away, earnings news was a big factor today. On the upside: Oracle (ORCL), up 6 percent. The software maker beat Wall Street profit and revenue estimates. Food giant ConAgra (CAG), up 5 percent, after topping expectations. And Pier 1 (PIR), also up 5 percent. Net slightly missed, but the retailer raised its dividend by 20 percent.

Hot Gold Companies To Watch For 2014: Northgate Minerals Corporation(NXG)

Northgate Minerals Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in exploring, developing, processing, and mining gold and copper deposits in Canada and Australia. Its principal producing assets include 100% interests in the Fosterville and Stawell Gold mines in Victoria, Australia; and the Kemess South mine located in north-central British Columbia, Canada. The company was formerly known as Northgate Exploration Limited and changed its name to Northgate Minerals Corporation in May 2004. Northgate Minerals Corporation was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Monday, December 23, 2013

There's Plenty of Room for Stocks to Fall from Here

Best Insurance Stocks To Own For 2014

 Everything that told us to "buy" six weeks ago is screaming at us to "sell" today.   Short-term conditions have gone from bullish to neutral (but still expecting higher prices) and back to bearish in just the past six weeks.   We don't usually flip-flop back and forth so quickly... But the market is suffering from multiple personality disorder. And when the character changes, we have to change our strategy.   This week, the strategy is bearish. Here's why...    The S&P 500 closed above its upper Bollinger Band last week. Take a look...     The index closed back inside the bands (blue lines) on Friday. That's a broad stock market "sell" signal. As you can see from the chart above, that happened two other times over the past year – in September and April. Following each signal, the S&P 500 sold off and dropped toward its lower Bollinger Band.   Right now, the lower Bollinger Band is at about 1,570. So there's plenty of room for stocks to fall if the bears take control.   Also, notice the two-day relative strength indicator (RSI) at the bottom of the chart. This provides a short-term measure of overbought or oversold conditions. Anything above 70 is considered overbought. (The maximum reading possible is 100.) It closed at 99.87 on Friday.    The McClellan Oscillator is also in overbought territory...     The oversold reading on this indicator helped us turn bullish back in June. Now, it's telling us to go the other way.    Finally, there's the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Index. Last week, this contrary indicator posted the largest percentage of bulls (48.9%) and lowest percentage of bears (18.3%) since May 23. Back then, the S&P 500 peaked at 1,670 and lost 4% over the next two weeks.   The market has enjoyed a healthy rally over the past month. But as I warned two weeks ago, short-term conditions moved quickly from oversold to neutral. Now they're overbought. So there's a good chance the gains we've seen over the past two weeks could vanish just as fast.   – Jeff Clark



Sunday, December 22, 2013

Is This General Ready to Lead?

Peter Lynch once famously declared "buy what you know." We at Motley Fool find that is a great way to begin a search to find new investing opportunities. I am a self-admitted Honey Nut Cheerios fanatic; however, I feel General Mills (NYSE: GIS  ) has more up its sleeve and deserves a place on your watchlist.

More than just Os
The American public's seemingly insatiable desire for lean protein in an "on-the-go" form will help General Mills going forward. They have a strong brand with the controlling acquisition of Yoplait, but have yet to parlay that brand recognition to rival Groupe Danone's (NASDAQOTH: DANOY  ) Dannon brand, and privately held Chobani's lock on the "Greek Yogurt Craze." I'd encourage management to make this a priority; matter of fact, I'd consider this a microcosm of management's execution effectiveness. I'm willing to give this some time to materialize, because the company has executed so well over the last couple of years from both an operations and capital allocation standpoint.

General operations
General Mills reported a 2% increase in total segment operating profit in last year's annual report through a combination of cost-cutting and "favorable product mix;" i.e., they sold higher margin goods. This is what management stated they were going to do when they instituted their Holistic Margin Management (HMM) program. Also, General Mills recently issued guidance affirming their full-year's EPS estimate. In short, management has done what it said it will do.

Captain capital allocation
General Mills' management has made bold moves with capital allocation. First, they have increased their dividend by nearly 9% last year, now yielding around 2.7%. And, of course, it purchased a 51% interest in Yoplait to bolster its second largest global category -- the one with the highest projected five-year growth rate. However, I'd like to hear a stronger commitment to a share repurchase program considering the average diluted share count increased by 2 million last fiscal year. With that being said, a nascent repurchasing program has started, with 745 million shares repurchased over the last 12 months.

Foreign strategy
Danone is an interesting paradox; it is much more of a pure play on the "Greek Yogurt Craze" with a larger percentage of its revenues coming from its Fresh Dairy Products business line. However, this is also a double-edged sword, as this product may be nearing saturation in U.S. markets, with increasing competition and new entrants. Also of note is foreign strategy: General Mills currently looks at foreign markets as strategic growth opportunities and it shows -- most of last year's revenue growth was due to international growth. Danone, a French company, derives a larger percentage of their revenue from international operations. Many of these countries are in the slumping eurozone that has an unemployment rate of 12.2% as of this writing. Danone may still have some U.S. growth with their Activia Greek launch, but I worry about cannibalization from regular Activia, considering this is a highly segmented brand.

But what do the numbers say?
The important question is, has this been priced into the stock?

Company PE Projected Growth Rate PEG Dividend Yield
General Mills 18 7.78% 2.31 3%
Kellogg (NYSE: K  ) 25 7.74% 3.23 2.7%
Industry (Packaged Goods) 21 7.39% 2.84 2.4%

The following metrics show that General Mills is still presenting value against its most noted rival and within the industry. General Mills currently has a lower P/E ratio than Kellogg and the industry. In addition, it has a higher five-year projected growth rate, leading to lower PEG ratios (explained here) than Kellogg, and within the industry. Finally, it pays the largest dividend yield to compensate you for your time. With that being said, the industry overall is a bit pricey now; however, if you're looking for value within the industry, keep an eye on this company.

Report for duty!
General Mills has stable and consistent management with a potential catalyst in its Greek yogurt product. Going into earnings on June 26, I recommend you add this company to your watchlist, read the next annual report, and listen to the earnings call. I'll be on the lookout for any positive signs from Yoplait Greek, international growth numbers, and EPS/dividend guidance. I feel that if management continues its commitment to the share repurchase program, and continues to execute, this General is ready to lead.

If you're looking for some long-term investing ideas, you're invited to check out The Motley Fool's brand-new special report, "The 3 Dow Stocks Dividend Investors Need." It's absolutely free, so simply click here now and get your copy today.

Saturday, December 21, 2013

Senate Panel Considers Labor Board Nominees

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Senate Republicans said Thursday they would not support five nominees to the National Labor Relations Board, raising the possibility the troubled agency could be rendered mostly inoperable later this year.

The board has already been working under a cloud since January, when a federal appeals court said the president violated the Constitution by filling vacancies on the board through recess appointments without Senate confirmation.

But an impasse over the latest slate of nominees could pose broader problems. The five-member board needs at least three sitting members to conduct business. It has a bare minimum of three now, but the term of its chairman, Mark Pearce, expires in August.

At a Senate confirmation hearing for the nominees, GOP lawmakers renewed their claim that the board has no legitimacy to act while the two recess appointees -- Sharon Block and Richard Griffin -- are serving. Republicans expressed further annoyance that President Barack Obama is including Block and Griffin in his slate of five nominees for full terms on the board.

"The president could nominate two equally qualified members who did not sit on the NLRB when a court had decided they were unconstitutionally there," said Tennessee Sen. Lamar Alexander, senior Republican on the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee.

Alexander said the White House has shown "a troubling lack of respect for the constitutional separation of powers and for the Senate's role of advice and consent that is standing in the way of this confirmation process."

Under questioning, Griffin and Block both said they decided to remain on the board because they took an oath to serve. They said it was proper to continue serving on the board until the Supreme Court steps in, because appeals courts have issued contradictory rulings about the right of a president to make recess appointments.

Democrats on the panel accused Republicans of obstructionism because the GOP and its allies in the business community have been unhappy with some of the union-friendly decisions issued by the board during Obama's administration.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., accused Republicans of a demonstrating a pattern of delaying or blocking confirmation of appointments to the Environmental Protection Agency, Labor Department and Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

"This is about complete obstructionism because the minority senators don't like the agencies, and they don't like the work these agencies do," Warren said.

The Obama administration has insisted it wants Griffin and Block confirmed as part of the five-member package of nominees. Obama also has renominated the board's chairman, Pearce, to another full term. All three are Democrats. The other two nominees, lawyers Harry I. Johnson III and Philip A. Miscimarra, are Republicans.

While the committee's Democratic majority was expected to endorse the nominees, Republicans were likely to demand 60 votes for a full vote to proceed on the Senate floor.

The prospect of a crippled NLRB has angered labor unions, which count on the agency to resolve worker complaints of unfair labor violations and issue key legal decisions on labor-management disputes.

Friday, December 20, 2013

USDCHF And EURGBP Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis

USD has also turned higher againts the Swiss Franc in this week with five waves up from the lows which means that trend is now bullish. we expect more upside in the next few days but after three wave set-back to 0.8890/10 zone.

USDCHF Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis

Latest decline on EURGBP can be counted in five waves which is another confirmation for bearish EUR, now also on some crosses. We know that five wave patterns are showing direction of a trend which in our case is down so we expect further weakness after any pullback. It seems that this pullback is now already underway. Usually those corrective three wave retracements will stop in the area of previous fourth waves, which in our case comes in from 0.8386-0.8412 so we may see more upside before pair may turn south again.

EURGBP Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis

Written by www.ew-forecast.com

The following article is from one of our external contributors. It does not represent the opinion of Benzinga and has not been edited.

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Thursday, December 19, 2013

America's Best And Worst Banks 2014

America's Best And Worst Banks

This year the U.S. banking industry continued its slow recovery from its nadir in 2010, as banks cleaned up their balance sheets and reduced nonperforming loans and assets. There were only 24 bank failures in 2013, versus 51 last year. Failures peaked at 157 in 2010. The FDIC's "Problem List" of banks shrank to 515 from 694 a year ago (it was 888 in March 2011).

Yet there is still a broad disparity between the best and worst banks. In order to gauge the financial health of the 100 largest U.S. banks and thrifts, Forbes turned to Charlottesville, Va.-based financial data provider SNL Financial for information on asset quality, capital adequacy and profitability. The data is based on regulatory filings through the third quarter of 2013. SNL provides the data, but the rankings are done by Forbes (click here for a more detailed methodology and a complete ranking of the 100 largest banks).

Leading the way is Prosperity Bancshares, which also ranked first in 2011. The $16 billion bank has 218 locations, with one-quarter of them in the Houston area, where it is headquartered. The bank has only six branches outside of Texas. The share of Prosperity's loans that are nonperforming (0.1%) and assets that are nonperforming (0.1%) both rank among the three lowest in the banking industry. Its level of reserves/NPLs is an eye-popping 1,144%. Prosperity ranked in the top 10 in five of the nine metrics we evaluated the banks on.

Prosperity skirted the housing crisis for the most part thanks to the resilient Texas economy, and it has been snapping up other Texas banks. Its latest acquisition is FVNB, completed last month. Prosperity also reached a deal to acquire Tulsa, Okla.-based F&M Bank. FVNB and F&M had combined assets of $4.9 billion as of the third quarter.  Acquisitions have helped fuel revenue growth of 30%, fourth best among the 100 biggest banks. The stock is up 42% year-to-date and trades at 1.6 times book value.

Full List: America's Best and Worst Banks

Signature Bank moves up one spot from last year to No. 2 in our ranking. The New York-based bank is one of the most profitable financial institutions, with a return on average equity of 12.7% for the latest 12 months. State Street State Street fell two places after ranking first last year. The $217 billion firm has the lowest levels of both nonperforming loans and assets of any bank.

"We are on the backside of the crisis and companies are starting to look for growth," says SNL bank analyst Tyler Hall. It hasn't been easy given rock-bottom interest rates. Only 44% of banks with more than $1 billion in assets increased revenue in the third quarter, according to SNL. It is even worse for the biggest banks. M&T Bank M&T Bank was the only one of the 27 banks with more than $25 billion in assets to increase revenue in the most recent quarter.

With the search for growth in mind, we tweaked the methodology of this year's list for the first time since we began ranking the largest banks in 2009. We added revenue growth as an equally weighted component to the other eight metrics (Prosperity would have ranked first under the previous methodology as well). The average revenue growth for the 100 largest banks was just 1.1% over the last 12 months.

While banks search for growth, they also are bracing for new regulatory policies like the Volcker rule and Basel III. "The regulatory concern is out there," says Hall. "Banks are spending significant time and money looking at how it is going to impact them." Zions Bancorp Zions Bancorp announced this week it would sell some collateralized debt obligations that it can no longer hold due to the Volcker rule, taking a charge of $387 million to write down the value of the securities.

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

As top U.S. light bulb fades away, shoppers stock…

The Thomas Edison era largely comes to an end Jan. 1 with the phaseout of America's most popular light bulb. Surprised? A survey out Thursday finds that most consumers are, and a third plan to stock up on the old incandescents before they fade away.

Three of five, or 59%, of Americans say they didn't know that the top-selling 60-watt bulb — plus the 40-watt version — will start disappearing from store shelves next year, according to the sixth annual "socket survey" by lighting company Osram Sylvania.

About twice as many respondents as last year — now 30% — say they plan to buy a lot of Edison's century-old incandescents wherever they're still available and continue using them rather than switching to more efficient alternatives, says the survey of 300 U.S. adults conducted last month.

"Some Americans are digging in. It takes people awhile to adjust," says Anne Guertin, Osram Sylvania spokeswoman. She notes, though, that two-thirds of those surveyed plan to switch, and 59% welcome the efficiency shift.

Sales are up for the old 60-watt and 40-watt bulbs, partly because of store promotions, says Mark Voykovic, national light bulb merchant for The Home Depot. He says his company's stores have put up more signs to educate shoppers about the phaseout.

The two bulbs, which account for about half of all standard-size bulb sales, are part of the U.S. government's multiyear phaseout of traditional incandescents, which began nationwide in January 2012 with the 100-watt. Last year, the phaseout extended to the 75-watt bulb.

The bulbs won't disappear overnight. A 2007 energy-efficiency law, signed by President George W. Bush, requires that as of Jan. 1 they no longer be made in or imported into the United States. Stores can finish selling their stock. Voykovic expects The Home Depot to have enough of the old bulbs to last through mid-2014.

Some stores are now stocking up so they have enough for shoppers who want to hoard them, says Terry McGowan, director of enginee! ring at the American Lighting Association. He says hoarders, though, are a minority of shoppers.

The 2007 law requires light bulbs meet stricter efficiency standards. Old incandescents don't make the cut, because they waste 90% of their energy as heat rather than light — that's why they're so hot when in use. So companies have improved halogens — also incandescents — to meet the standards. The law exempts appliance, colored, three-way and other less commonly used incandescents.

Opposed to a government mandate, some members of Congress have tried to repeal the law or stop funding for its enforcement. Yet lighting companies have moved on, releasing a plethora of more efficient bulbs in recent years that offer warmer, incandescent-like light at steadily falling prices.

"We have witnessed more lighting innovation in the last five years than we have over the past 100," says Noah Horowitz, senior scientist at the Natural Resources Defense Council, an environmental group, acknowledging that the law served as catalyst. He points to incandescents that use 28% less energy as well as CFLs (compact fluorescent lamps) and LEDs (light emitting diodes) that use at least 75% less.

These alternatives still have much higher upfront costs, but the Department of Energy says customers quickly recoup the price difference in energy savings. Unlike the old incandescent, which last a year on average, CFLs can last 10, and LEDs up to 25.

"We're seeing a smooth transition," says Voykovic of the phaseout, adding that most shoppers will shift next year to halogen incandescents but eventually move to LEDs as their costs fall. Major lighting companies have debuted LED replacements for each of the incandescents being phased out, some retailing for about $10 a bulb.

"We're just at the beginning of where LEDs can go," says Nadav Malin, president of BuildingGreen, a company that researches energy-efficient products. He notes that LEDs aren't just replacing old incandescents but also are being pla! ced insid! e furniture and wall panels. Last year, Philips Lighting debuted an LED system, known as "hue," that can be controlled by a smartphone or tablet.

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Should You Check In to Hilton's IPO?

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Cocoa Beach Hilton, Cocoa Beach, Space Coast, Florida, ,USAAlamy Quick, what's the most recognized brand name in the hotel industry? Chances are good that your knee-jerk answer was "Hilton." That well-known moniker is especially prominent last week, as Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT), the company that now owns the hallowed brand, has brought it back to the stock market in the form of an initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange. Wednesday, the company priced the IPO at $20 per share, and due to strong demand, raised the number of shares to be sold to 117.6 million from the originally anticipated 112.8 million. That means gross proceeds just north of $2.35 billion, the highest in history for a hotel operator. Hilton's coming to market now because its majority owner, financial services powerhouse The Blackstone Group (BX), wants to cash out on its investment. The company took the hotel operator private with several partners in 2007. Since then, Blackstone has watched other big names in the hospitality sector launch well-received IPOs. In late 2009, for instance, Hyatt Hotels (H) debuted on the NYSE, raising gross proceeds of $950 million -- enough to make it one of the highest-grossing issues of that year. That was also good enough to make its shareholders wealthier; from a listing price of $25 per share, the stock closed at $28 on its first day of trading, and just over four years later, it has nearly doubled to more than $46. More recently, Blackstone had skin in the game in the IPO of long-term hotel operator Extended Stay America (STAY) as a co-owner along with peer financials Centerbridge Partners and Paulson. The shares of ESA rose nearly 20 percent on the company's market debut last month and have since crept higher. Those kinds of numbers were surely irresistible to Blackstone, which has wisely decided not to sell any of its own Hilton shares in the IPO. Rather, the wily financier says it will dole them out gradually in the months and years ahead. It needs the time -- the company owns more than 750 million shares (roughly 76 percent of the total). But what's the rush? With that kind of holding, even a small movement upward in the stock price will nicely fatten Blackstone's return on its investment. Rooms Aplenty Famous names have done well in stock market debuts recently. Everyone's familiar with Twitter (TWTR), which helped the social media company rake in $2.1 billion from its IPO last month. It's greatly unprofitable so far, and will probably remain so for a while, but that hasn't prevented its stock from more than doubling its issue price since going public. Hilton has the added advantage of being safely in the black. It's turned a net profit in its last three fiscal years, and in the first nine months of 2013, its attributable net of $389 million was 34 percent ahead of the same period last year. Occupancy has also grown lately, rising to 73.5 percent in the first nine months of this year, compared to 71.1 percent for 2012, and 69.7 percent in 2011. Additionally, Hilton boasts the largest portfolio in the business. It operates under 10 different brand names across several segments of the market, with 4,080 properties housing a total of nearly 672,000 rooms. Cleverly, the company franchises or manages the bulk of its hotels; these activities carry higher margins and are less cost-intensive than owning them outright. Any Reservations? As with a great many companies that have been taken private, Hilton is now weighed down with a heavy load of debt. At the end of September, total long-term borrowings stood at a bloated $14.3 billion, a figure that was more than double revenues for the first nine months of the year. The company is going to use the bulk of the IPO proceeds to pay down some of this, but that'll only slightly reduce the big pile. Yes, money is cheap to borrow these days, but $14 billion-plus is a massive number and the firm will struggle to cut it down to a less intimidating size. Yet Hilton is owned and being shepherded to the market by an ace financial operator that knows how to squeeze value out of an asset, and use it to the benefit of shareholders. And that portfolio is big and expansive, plus the franchise/management focus helps the bottom line stay in the black. Last but not least, that famous name will attract attention on its own. Never ignore the power of a known brand, particularly if it's backed by some good fundamentals and a smart, determined seller. Considering all of the above, Hilton's shares have nice potential. At the close of trading Thursday, the stock had risen to $21.50, and was up nearly 3 percent more on Friday. Don't be surprised if it continues to move steadily upward in the wake of the IPO.

Sunday, December 15, 2013

Lawyer For NFL Players Sidelined Permanently....True Chicago Style?

Chicago is a great city, a peculiarly American city. Carl Sandburg's City of Broad Shoulders, it is the old and the new Mayor Daley, Studs Terkel and Mike Royko. It is an architect's city, big, friendly and Midwestern.

But even long after Al Capone was taken down over taxes, Chicago seems to grow tax scams. At least that's one conclusion to draw from several recent court battles involving tax lawyers and tax scams. Take tax lawyer Gary J. Stern, tax lawyer to some celebs, including the Bears Quarterback Kyle Orton. In fact, if you have a big income, seeing Mr. Stern to whittle down your tax bill might seem to make sense.

But that was then. Now Mr. Stern is barred by injunction from promoting tax fraud schemes and preparing the accompanying tax returns. The government claims he was facilitating unlawful tax schemes for his clients. Mr. Stern consented to the injunction without admitting the allegations.

The feds claim he concocted three tax scams and helped clients claim over $16 million in bogus tax credits. The participants included lawyers, entrepreneurs and pro football players. Not all of them are thanking Mr. Stern for his tax savvy.

In fact, some have sued him alleging fraud, breach of fiduciary duty and professional malpractice. Sterns' tax deals were complex, probably intentionally so to make the grift harder to spot. But some of it was old-fashioned. Indeed, perhaps in a nod to Chicago's past, the feds claim that some of Stern's deals involved Stern or his cronies just keeping most of the money.

Court records reveal that the IRS even launched a criminal investigation in Mr. Stern's tax credit deals. In the Spring of 2011, a Special Agent from the IRS Criminal Investigation Division tried to interview Mr. Stern. According to court records, he invoked the Fifth Amendment.

So is all of this hubbub about Mr. Stern a reason to think that Chicago has more of its share of this? No, but read on. After all, it was only a month ago that another Chicago tax lawyer was barred from promoting another tax shelter.

That tax scam involved what federal officials say was distressed Brazilian debt used to improperly lower customers' reported income. It sounds like a David Mamet script. There were two injunctions entered against the perpetrators, tax lawyer John Rogers and two of his companies, Sugarloaf Fund LLC and Jetstream Business Limited.

Mr. Rogers' deals involved Brazilian debt shelter schemes said to have generated more than $370 million in bogus tax deductions. And that makes him arguably a much bigger player than Mr. Stern. Like Mr. Stern, Mr. Rogers consented to the injunction without admitting the allegations.

In Chicago or anywhere else, how are people drawn into these deals? Athletes in particular may not engender much sympathy. The money they make seems incredible, and the work seems better than what most of us do for a living. Besides, the adoring fans and media seem generally supportive. And think of that endorsement income!

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Still, their tax and financial lives are complex. Imagine not just dealing with the IRS or your own home state or home country's tax rules. Suppose you earn income in various states or countries and must apportion it and pay tax in many different places? Welcome to the world of the professional athlete.

You can reach me at Wood@WoodLLP.com. This discussion is not intended as legal advice, and cannot be relied upon for any purpose without the services of a qualified professional.

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Japan may invest pension money with foreign fund

TOKYO--Japan's $1.2 trillion public pension fund should consider pairing up with an overseas fund to diversify its portfolio, and should pursue infrastructure investments, the head of government-appointed panel said Friday.

The panel's recommendations are the latest sign of growing pressure on the notoriously conservative fund to change its investment strategy.

The six-person panel submitted recommendations to Finance Minister Taro Aso Friday suggesting working with a foreign fund using the expertise of the Development Bank of Japan would an effective approach for the Government Pension Investment Fund.

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The panel also urged the Japan Bank for International Cooperation to study the feasibility of investing in infrastructure projects, and for the GPIF to consider diversifying its assets based on that study.

Currently, the fund doesn't invest in any asset classes other than stocks and bonds. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's administration has identified making the GPIF more aggressive as one way to help support Japan's long-term growth.

The six-person panel included Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group board chairman Masayuki Oku, JPX Group head Atsushi Saito and University of Tokyo professor Takatoshi Ito. It was led by the Ministry of Finance and the Financial Services Agency.

"The GPIF could invest in a project overseas, with a fund from Canada for example, and that know-how it absorbed there could help invigorate the infrastructure market in Japan," Mr. Ito told reporters.

He added that any investment would likely only represent a small percentage of the GPIF's portfolio, given the fund's large size.

He also said domestic funds such as the GPIF becoming more aggressive could help attract asset managers and staff to Japan.

The panel's original mandate made no specific mention of institutional investors such as the GPIF, but was tasked with discussing how to make Japan's capital markets attractive by encouraging investment by retail investors, and how to support growth in Asia. Mr. Ito said the group discussed how that could impact retirees' pension money.

The panel also endorsed the recommendations of a separate panel tasked specifically with revising the nation's public pension funds. The other panel, chaired by Mr. Ito, said in its final report last month that the GPIF should move away from its bond-heavy portfolio, diversify investments, and hire more professional staff.

The GPIF has looked into infrastructure investment in the past. The fund hired four different firms to study the feasibility of investing in nonstock, nonbond assets, such as private equity and infrastructure. The four wrapped up their study earlier this year.

In an interview with The Wall Street Journal earlier this year, GPIF President Takahiro Mitani said he would like to invest in water- and railway-infrastructure assets in developed markets abroad.

Mr. Ito said the panel would like to continue meeting.

Write to Eleanor Warnock at eleanor.warnock@wsj.com

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Video Dodge & Cox Discusses the Media and Internet Landscape

Dodge & Cox analysts discuss the fundamental changes and the trends taking place in the media and Internet landscape, as well as the effects it is having on related companies. Watch the video here.


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